Gambler’s Fallacy

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…and predictions are made likely

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Contrast Effect

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…if something better is next to it

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Conformation Bias

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...that is according to our beliefs...

[{"selector":"#anim-da2dda79-c325-42ae-8359-52943ae13b64 [data-leaf-element=\"true\"]","keyframes":{"transform":["translate(0%, 0%) scale(1.5)","translate(0%, 0%) scale(1)"]},"delay":0,"duration":1000,"easing":"cubic-bezier(.3,0,.55,1)","fill":"forwards"}] [{"selector":"#anim-78cd4777-c2a0-45ce-b25c-de5bf150b06e","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-cdf8548d-5a5c-47b5-9b78-987a9d8423bc","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(0px, 100.89218%, 0)","translate3d(0px, 0px, 0)"]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-7392fce9-aef8-4114-b834-68eb3afcabe7","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-ce47240e-fe4b-427f-922a-2f83ceef1041","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(0px, -99.4323%, 0)","translate3d(0px, 0px, 0)"]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-bb8d3490-67d0-4b0f-b2ad-8e15d279b664","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-e18245e0-f012-416e-bf3f-44bbe559e6d7","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(0px, 159.02782%, 0)","translate3d(0px, 0px, 0)"]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-547642eb-3a75-40a3-a3c7-37959c383afc","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-cad875bb-7a59-4cda-aa13-5310e6228289","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(0px, -134.02779%, 0)","translate3d(0px, 0px, 0)"]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-e1c4535d-6a13-430a-986a-b13ab8a0509a","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":1000,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.4, 0.4, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}]

Only believe what our beliefs allow

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Baader-Meinhoff Phenomenon

[{"selector":"#anim-c7a4024f-aa06-4324-9bda-8c2dbc29f5e3 [data-leaf-element=\"true\"]","keyframes":{"transform":["translate(0%, 0%) scale(1.5)","translate(0%, 0%) scale(1)"]},"delay":0,"duration":1000,"easing":"cubic-bezier(.3,0,.55,1)","fill":"forwards"}] [{"selector":"#anim-1d77694a-011e-4d4c-a6fd-8ffb9fa93cb6","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-7e2108ec-4db6-4ce0-901b-6ecd56b45b11","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(0px, 100.89218%, 0)","translate3d(0px, 0px, 0)"]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-21d5583c-2efd-4398-9774-5ad68ee2baa7","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-a14dc594-8ee6-4f95-9330-3eeb9fb68736","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(0px, -99.4323%, 0)","translate3d(0px, 0px, 0)"]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-2a664aa3-3329-4c05-b7f7-e8d09109de6a","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-34ded9c6-03c8-4115-8a1e-5da1e54a6a25","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(0px, -119.61449%, 0)","translate3d(0px, 0px, 0)"]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-0631d57b-9f1e-489e-8fe7-43a73c37223a","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-0cbe2e3c-e56e-4546-a981-f55c028b693d","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(0px, 275.61749%, 0)","translate3d(0px, 0px, 0)"]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-e943ed63-7948-44f3-8207-3db4fd84ead1","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.4, 0.4, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}]

… we keep noticing it more & more often.

[{"selector":"#anim-98377301-010a-4339-9b9e-73f75246fbc4 [data-leaf-element=\"true\"]","keyframes":{"transform":["translate(0%, 0%) scale(1.5)","translate(0%, 0%) scale(1)"]},"delay":0,"duration":1000,"easing":"cubic-bezier(.3,0,.55,1)","fill":"forwards"}] [{"selector":"#anim-8aa40ec7-b1ee-4d1f-9927-8f9e4c8ea6ea","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-70553dd3-f839-4483-9889-d63ff3d7f7de","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(0px, 100.89218%, 0)","translate3d(0px, 0px, 0)"]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-d2058a34-73b9-4776-a80e-e9df27db2392","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-fc91ae3d-9fee-46bd-a118-cf79a66364ab","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(0px, -99.4323%, 0)","translate3d(0px, 0px, 0)"]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-472c18f4-b37b-4b71-84ce-146f87106c49","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-a2bf2d12-11c2-4264-a3a0-609aa947a5b8","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(0px, 159.02782%, 0)","translate3d(0px, 0px, 0)"]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-105799a1-8aff-46f8-b134-b825ee37a4ff","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-0f26de41-e4ca-45db-a19b-25d0d8d8ef87","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(0px, -134.02779%, 0)","translate3d(0px, 0px, 0)"]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-43db9f68-2ce7-43d6-bc41-ede064e7c0b5","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":1000,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.4, 0.4, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}]

Zeigarnik Effect

[{"selector":"#anim-00314426-c297-4f45-94f7-0565dbf8239a [data-leaf-element=\"true\"]","keyframes":{"transform":["translate(0%, 0%) scale(1.5)","translate(0%, 0%) scale(1)"]},"delay":0,"duration":1000,"easing":"cubic-bezier(.3,0,.55,1)","fill":"forwards"}] [{"selector":"#anim-7a900f23-3ace-4804-a45f-8a0c315ae569","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-f7558907-52c6-4eac-8bc7-0865e1e18970","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(0px, 100.89218%, 0)","translate3d(0px, 0px, 0)"]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-f25172e9-3104-4fbc-8077-463cb582529e","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-ec01429b-3136-40d0-8828-ddb367c25807","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(0px, -99.4323%, 0)","translate3d(0px, 0px, 0)"]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-cd164eb6-d59a-49ee-9d0c-5e60e19bddd5","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-c701efb8-fa54-4b4c-b7df-042c85c97696","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(0px, -137.6906%, 0)","translate3d(0px, 0px, 0)"]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-a3bc22e9-f377-4789-9662-0593998fefba","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-119949ae-df43-4d99-8d4b-688687f3fc9b","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(0px, 116.52780%, 0)","translate3d(0px, 0px, 0)"]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-98ffffad-2ec4-4c16-87c8-230fb440fc93","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":1000,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.4, 0.4, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}]

…as compared to incomplete tasks.

[{"selector":"#anim-0995dc50-80d3-4e77-b501-855b14039ab7 [data-leaf-element=\"true\"]","keyframes":{"transform":["translate(0%, 0%) scale(1.5)","translate(0%, 0%) scale(1)"]},"delay":0,"duration":1000,"easing":"cubic-bezier(.3,0,.55,1)","fill":"forwards"}] [{"selector":"#anim-2bda77c4-7cdd-47e8-9910-82925304a91d","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-8e86634e-bf51-41f2-91a4-48ffb57b7c2c","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(0px, 100.89218%, 0)","translate3d(0px, 0px, 0)"]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-ddddcca4-cf9a-47a3-8e54-f12bfd8ebd4c","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-ca7ddbef-0db6-4d91-a945-15917e5ff995","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(0px, -99.4323%, 0)","translate3d(0px, 0px, 0)"]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-16753a07-d2b0-4743-836f-d92f9c3903b6","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-123f59a4-ea8e-4744-a232-66980ae884bc","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(0px, 159.02782%, 0)","translate3d(0px, 0px, 0)"]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-959ca418-ebc9-4477-a25b-9d388ab47aef","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-bea1901b-4a87-4843-a6f2-dab5d6577265","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(0px, -134.02779%, 0)","translate3d(0px, 0px, 0)"]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-7f582201-a2a4-4da3-a27d-68038cb012de","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":1000,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.4, 0.4, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}]

This can be avoided by just writing the tasks on a paper

[{"selector":"#anim-b904ec61-32f5-4732-9950-f285b8b39fbe [data-leaf-element=\"true\"]","keyframes":{"transform":["translate(0%, 0%) scale(1.5)","translate(0%, 0%) scale(1)"]},"delay":0,"duration":1000,"easing":"cubic-bezier(.3,0,.55,1)","fill":"forwards"}] [{"selector":"#anim-de5d58d6-2360-42c8-b5ad-a7b2a7fe87d7","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-65090854-3900-4f55-b1db-4a60bfb0147e","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(0px, -99.4323%, 0)","translate3d(0px, 0px, 0)"]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-e69d60fc-987f-42c6-9710-c8a715a233ac","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-f09f7226-4461-441a-88c0-fdd5ee5c54de","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(0px, -134.02779%, 0)","translate3d(0px, 0px, 0)"]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-9b5ac435-5fd0-4680-878a-2019c8a1e2d2","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":1000,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.4, 0.4, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}]

For More

[{"selector":"#anim-9b00b576-2275-4125-b801-11fc6b0f6065","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-3e7f4c99-3e26-40fa-a6c2-2231b3aabb46","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(0px, -133.07492%, 0)","translate3d(0px, 0px, 0)"]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-2b6a109f-e673-4f65-89cc-4823ee5cbedf","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-19f7b658-d669-4530-b502-71cccefdf377","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(0px, -291.83004%, 0)","translate3d(0px, 0px, 0)"]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-a7b9d3da-26f8-4b09-a41d-e2de8717eff5","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-b3d09b08-5273-40c4-8bf7-836f91006c27","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(0px, 178.79813%, 0)","translate3d(0px, 0px, 0)"]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-ca7a3540-6585-49f9-931e-f600bc72729d","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-b2977993-2ae3-480f-89f7-96feb8352077","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(0px, -94.1639%, 0)","translate3d(0px, 0px, 0)"]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}]

Gambler’s Fallacy

(Is There A Balance In The Universe)

…and predictions are made likely

We believe a balancing force exists…

Contrast Effect

(Comparisons Influence Judgements)

…if something better is next to it

The values of one thing seems less…

Conformation Bias

(The Grand Poobah Of All Bias)

...that is according to our beliefs...

Paying attention only to the information,

Only believe what our beliefs allow

...filtering out what doesn’t match our beliefs

Baader-Meinhoff Phenomenon

(The Frequency Illusion)

… we keep noticing it more & more often.

After noticing a thing for the first time...

Zeigarnik Effect

(Incomplete Work vs The Mind)

…as compared to incomplete tasks.

Minds forget the completed tasks easily…

This can be avoided by just writing the tasks on a paper

For More

Click Here

By- Shubham Singh Rawat