- The major question is: Is the BJP in possession of the necessary numbers to pass legislation establishing a uniform civil code through Parliament?
New Delhi: PM Narendra Modi’s most recent pitch for a Uniform Civil Code for all Indians has ignited the hypothesis that the BJP will attempt to push through legislation to carry out this with an eye on the 2024 general political race.
The major question is: Is there enough support for the ruling party to pass the legislation through Parliament? It will be easy to win the Lok Sabha, where the BJP holds a clear majority. What about Rajya Sabha, though?
Is There a New Possibility?
Presently, an assertion by one of the BJP’s severe opponents, the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) has opened up another way of thinking. Yesterday, a senior leader of the party led by Arvind Kejriwal stated that the party “in principle” supports the demand for a uniform civil code, but that discussions with stakeholders must be attempted to reach a consensus on the issue.
Mathematics of Rajya Sabha
There are currently 8 vacant seats in the Upper House and 237 members in Rajya Sabha. The empty seats incorporate two nominated individuals. Thus, the current majority mark is 119. The BJP has 92 MPs, its partner AIADMK hosts four and seven other little get-togethers supporting it have one each. That amounts to 103.
The BJP is still ten votes short of a majority when you factor in the support of one Independent MP and five members who have been nominated. Indeed, even with 9 MPs of the Naveen Patnaik-driven Biju Janata Dal, which has shown that it might support such a Bill, the BJP will in any case not cross the end goal. The YSR Congress Party, led by Jagan Mohan Reddy, which has repeatedly backed the ruling party, has stated that it will not support a Uniform Civil Code.
The AAP factor
The AAP has 10 MPs – – three from Delhi and seven from Punjab. The AAP’s stand on the Uniform Civil Code, which comes amid its faceoff with the Congress when oppositions are joining ranks for 2024, has ignited the buzz that its help might well take the Uniform Civil Code past the larger part mark. However, the AAP and BJP are fierce rivals who are currently at odds over the central government’s order to control Delhi bureaucrats. The Congress is yet to back the AAP on this issue, inciting the Arvind Kejriwal-drove party to say that it is undeniably challenging for it to join any collusion involving the Congress. The most important question then will be whether AAP will support legislation that is BJP’s favourite agenda.
A Closer Look at the Upcoming Rajya Sabha Polls
Ten Rajya Sabha seats will soon be up for polls during the Monsoon Session of Parliament, which is expected to begin in the third week of July. Six of the ten seats are located in West Bengal, three are in Gujarat, and one is in Goa. Among the Bengal seats, five are right now held by the ruling Trinamool Congress and one by the Congress. This time, in any case, the BJP might get its most memorable Rajya Sabha MP from Bengal. The BJP has three outgoing members in Gujarat. The Goa Rajya Sabha seat going to be empty is additionally held by the BJP.
Two of the eight vacant seats belong to members who have been nominated, and four are from Jammu and Kashmir. After Hardwar Dubey of the BJP passed away, one seat was vacant, and Luizinho Faleiro, who was previously with Trinamool, resigned.
