Ripple Implications due to Afghanistan’s withdrawal

Date:

As the Taliban swifts into Afghanistan has left much of the west reeling. Moreover, Afghan itself bears the brunt of the militant group’s rule. And the most immediate ripple effect beyond Afghan its neighbour will feel the most immediate impact.

Earlier, countries like Russia, China, and Pakistan have affirmed that the future of Afghanistan shall be decided through dialogue and political negotiations. The question arises How will they manage now as the Taliban has overtaken the Afghan government.

And directly, as the Afghans attempt to flee, can Iran and Pakistan deal with the potential mass exodus of refugees? How will India respond to the loss of its ally in Kabul? Could Taliban rule disrupt regional economic connectivity between South and Central Asia? 

Russia: From Surprise to Schadenfreude 

In its statement Senator Aleksey Pushkov, a United States Critique called the whole event a “revenge of history” over “Globalism and modernity”. However, the Russian officials in contact with the Taliban expressed their willingness to work with the Taliban.

However, they are in no hurry to recognize the new group. They are affirmed that they initially made a good impression with an ensured safety of the Russian Embassy in Afghanistan. 

Central Asia: Security,Trade and Transit

The part that has lived with Taliban in the 1990s and will adjust to living with them on account of prioritizing their security, Trade and Transit as the Afghan could pose severe chaos towards the economic challenges and security measures.

However, the Central Asian states of Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan and Tajikistan have all reacted with a demonstrative flexing of military muscle by shoring up border security.

China: Stability on its Westernmost border 

And they have shown mixed emotions towards this takeover. Desiring soft Landing Chinese Foreign Minister wang, Yi told, above all, it is concerned with the stability on its westernmost border.

Beijing is actively pursuing accommodation with the new authorities in Kabul. It wants guarantees that a Taliban government will not cause unrest in Xinjiang or affect China’s economy endeavours in Afghanistan.

Iran: Treading, Leaning on Diplomacy 

Taliban’s takeover had a ripple effect that undermines Iran’s long-term interest. Iran’s top concern includes:

  • Steaming the flow of migrants and refugees.
  • Containing narcotics.
  • Sharing water resources and ensuring the safety of the Shia minority. 

India: Warily watching the regional fault

The Taliban’s triumph in Kabul is viewed by New Delhi through the prism of the India-Pakistan war and its rivalry with China, making the fall of the India-friendly Ghani government a huge security threat to India.

India has also promised to enable Afghans to remain in the country while their applications for relocation to third countries are processed. Minister of External Affairs Jaishankar is currently in office in New York for the UNSC session and spoke to Secretary Blinken about the need to secure Kabul airport to facilitate continued evacuations.

Pakistan: 

Pakistan has refused to recognise the Afghan government run by the Taliban. primarily evacuated its diplomatic personnel. Pakistan had shut its side of the border before the Taliban’s takeover. But after a brief closure, it was reopened for trade and restricted pedestrian movement.

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